Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.182416 0.211917 0.244715 0.283893 0.329442 0.380754 0.442989
2025-03-30 0.131926 0.169886 0.216636 0.278503 0.358342 0.458071 0.592395
2025-04-06 0.106036 0.146512 0.199975 0.275879 0.381125 0.522292 0.726722
2025-04-13 0.089602 0.131110 0.189156 0.276437 0.404775 0.587250 0.867702
2025-04-20 0.080715 0.124134 0.187932 0.288776 0.444839 0.678308 1.056287
2025-04-27 0.073130 0.117577 0.185837 0.298667 0.481461 0.767668 1.253184
2025-05-04 0.066605 0.111508 0.183305 0.306923 0.515751 0.856638 1.460192
2025-05-11 0.060013 0.104287 0.177758 0.309111 0.539750 0.931034 1.651817
2025-05-18 0.053606 0.096441 0.170023 0.306273 0.554293 0.990477 1.824287
2025-05-25 0.047166 0.087654 0.159490 0.296953 0.555787 1.026617 1.958535
2025-06-01 0.044075 0.084501 0.158494 0.304634 0.588911 1.123119 2.216585
2025-06-08 0.040510 0.079991 0.154411 0.305867 0.609719 1.198609 2.443078
2025-06-15 0.037772 0.076827 0.152652 0.311692 0.640826 1.298856 2.734895
2025-06-22 0.034034 0.071223 0.145509 0.305910 0.647950 1.352591 2.938855
2025-06-29 0.031048 0.066781 0.140135 0.303020 0.660527 1.418638 3.177234
2025-07-06 0.028729 0.063452 0.136646 0.303634 0.680537 1.502494 3.465501
2025-07-13 0.027754 0.062914 0.138980 0.317205 0.730689 1.657648 3.935835
2025-07-20 0.026617 0.061870 0.140074 0.328084 0.776018 1.807365 4.413473
2025-07-27 0.025424 0.060550 0.140387 0.337164 0.818224 1.954879 4.905567
2025-08-03 0.023865 0.058179 0.138015 0.339570 0.844704 2.068403 5.328804
2025-08-10 0.022092 0.055084 0.133594 0.336449 0.857182 2.149467 5.680380
2025-08-17 0.020063 0.051121 0.126649 0.326198 0.850421 2.181956 5.909530
2025-08-24 0.019272 0.050187 0.127024 0.334647 0.892928 2.344593 6.509263